31 Mar '16, 6pm

Inside the Numbers: Using stats to predict the 2016 #Masters champion

Inside the Numbers: Using stats to predict the 2016 #Masters champion

Vegas favors Jason Day, Jordan Spieth and Rory McIlroy to win the Masters, but I say Augusta National best suits someone else. Big hitters have had an edge at Augusta for decades, thanks in part to a pair of reachable par 5s and lack of penalties for wild tee shots. In 2015, the 13th and 15th holes played with average second shots of 220 yards and 233 yards -- both relatively short for a PGA Tour par-5. Dustin Johnson’s average second shot into the 13th was 178 yards and Rory McIlroy’s was 189 yards. D.J. and Rory also averaged 202 yards into the 15th hole. Looking at 2015 data, the golfers who hit their approach at 13 from 180-210 yards took 3.14 strokes to hole out (so 4.14 strokes total). Moved back to 210-230 yards (roughly the average length of an approach), the hole-out average was 3.50 strokes -- a gap of 0.36 strokes. At other courses, a that gap is typically close...

Full article: http://www.golf.com/golf-plus/inside-numbers-key-stat-ide...

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